贸易经济系学术讲座系列2021年第18讲

主 题：College Expansion, Trade and Innovation: Evidence from China

主讲人: 马啸（北京大学汇丰商学院）

协调人: 陈志远

时 间：2021-10-13 16:00

地 点：明商1007会议室

语 言：中英文

讲座摘要：

This paper examines how China’s expansion of college education since 1999 affects innovation and exports’ skill content. I develop a two-country spatial equilibrium model, featuring skill intensity differences across industries and heterogeneous firms’ innovation and exporting choices. I empirically validate my model mechanisms about how the college expansion affects innovation and exports, exploiting differential supply shocks of college-educated workers across regions due to historical college endowments. I apply the resulting reduced-form estimates in the calibration to discipline key elasticities that determine the magnitude of export expansion. Under different assumptions about firm entry, I find that China’s college expansion explained 40–70% of increases in China’s manufacturing R&D intensity between 2003–2018 and triggered export skill upgrading. I also find that trade openness amplified the impact of this education policy change on China’s innovation and production.

主讲人简介：

马啸，北京大学汇丰商学院助理教授。马啸教授2014年于中国人民大学经济学院获得学士学位；2016年获得中国人民大学经济学院硕士学位；2021年获得加州大学圣地亚哥分校经济学博士学位。主要研究方向为国际贸易和宏观发展经济学。